Cyclone 'unlikely' to form in Arabian Sea
1. "If the cyclone is formed, it is expected to move towards Oman," says weatherman
Following reports of a low-pressure area in the Arabian Sea that could potentially develop into a tropical storm, Chief Meteorologist Sardar Sarfaraz has stated that there is no likelihood of a cyclone forming.
The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) had warned relevant authorities about this low-pressure system, indicating that it might evolve into a significant storm affecting Pakistan’s coastal regions in the upcoming weeks.
However, during an interview on Geo News’ program "Geo Pakistan," Sarfaraz clarified, "There is currently no low-pressure formation, as a cyclone develops at its fifth stage."
He further emphasized, “Given the present weather conditions, I don’t anticipate it becoming a cyclone. Even if it does, it is projected to move towards Oman with a 70% to 80% likelihood.”
Sarfaraz's remarks came shortly after the NDMA issued a weather warning regarding the potential formation of a low-pressure system in the Arabian Sea, suggesting it could develop into a full-fledged tropical cyclone impacting the country's coastal areas.
In response to the NDMA's alert, Sarfaraz reiterated that a cyclone has not yet formed. "A low-pressure system may develop in the southeast Arabian Sea around October 9 or 10," he noted, adding that this area is near the southern coast of India.
He mentioned that the low air pressure could intensify if the weather conditions become favorable. However, he cautioned that it is too early to predict whether the cyclone would reach Pakistan's coastline.
Sarfaraz explained that cyclones typically form during the post-monsoon season. "In contrast to cyclones occurring in May and June, those in this period generally track westward," he said, highlighting the shift in weather conditions that usually occurs within four to six days.
Additionally, he indicated that temperatures in Karachi are expected to remain stable through the following week.
